Family Office Real Estate Institute Podcast · Episode 127
Investing Where Others Won’t: A Global Family Office Real Estate Strategy
Bruce Talley in conversation with DJ Van Keuren
· Interview transcript · 41 minutes
Watch the original interviewThe conversation
Bruce Talley joins DJ Van Keuren to discuss residential real estate in Ukraine, the role of local operational support, foreign ownership, geopolitical risk, and the investment thesis informed by European peer markets.
- — Bruce’s background and destination services
- — Residential real estate in Kyiv, Lviv and Odesa
- — Foreign ownership and portfolio strategy
- — War risk, reconstruction and European integration
Source: original episode from Family Office Real Estate Institute Podcast. The transcript below is the supplied transcript, with line breaks consolidated for reading. It may contain transcription errors, including names, places and figures. Statements reflect the interview, not independently verified facts or current investment advice; this is not an offer to buy or sell securities.
Full transcript
For the last 25 years, I've been in real
estate, which is my passion.
Back in 2015, I started working in the
family office space directly for several
prominent families on their real estate
portfolios.
With 70% of families losing their wealth
by the second generation and 90% by the
third generation,
I then realized that real estate would
be the missing component for families,
allowing them to maintain their legacy
and mitigate how much wealth is lost for
future generations.
It was shortly after working for my
first single family office that I
started interviewing successful real
estate families and industry experts.
These conversations
combined with my firstirhand experience
of working for families on their real
estate investments and currently
investing on behalf of families that has
allowed me to share this knowledge with
other family offices, family members,
and family office professionals so they
too can be good stewards of wealth.
I'm DJ Vancur and this is Family Office
Real Estate Insights from the Family
Office Real Estate Institute.
Welcome to the Family Office Real Estate
Institute. Today,
uh, we're going to be talking with Bruce
Tally, and we're going to be talking
about some international,
uh, real estate in, I would say, one of
the places in the world you probably
wouldn't think about initially.
So, Bruce, thanks for, uh, being on the
show.
>> Thanks a lot. It's a pleasure to be
here.
So, first off, tell us a little bit
about who you are and your background
and then we'll get into the topic.
>> Okay. Sure enough. I uh I worked for an
investment banking firm in California
for many years. Uh sold traded bond
issues, municipal bond issues.
California's got a very robust uh uh
bond market with a lot of issuers and
eventually led West Coast sales there.
Um and I developed a secondary book of
business selling loan participations to
community banks for
Native American casinos, hotels, condo
projects, that sort of thing. Still
debt, but not securitized.
Later on I had this idea that um
subsequently was proven false was that
Russia was going to join the community
of nations be a responsible member that
there and that there was a big
opportunity there. there's a big market.
Um it it it there there was a chance uh
you know for Russia be to become maybe
something like Poland or the Czech
Republic
in the way that they've developed the
the rule of law and more democratic
norms. And so I live I lived in Russia
for about 10 years. I bought and sold
commercial land in South Russia in a
region called Crescent Arc riots on the
east side of the Black Sea north of the
Cauasus Mountains. Uh had some great
results. Eventually I developed what
became destination Sochi. Um the
Olympics were coming to to Russia, the
Winter Olympics in 2014. So I started a
company and didn't know anything about
this industry at the time but I started
a company providing destination services
for the Olympic broadcasters partners
and sponsors that were going to come
there. So we provided services from
about 2011 to 2014. You know tours to
begin with events later on workforce
relocation together with financial
management of the contracts, TV studios,
offices, warehouses, staffing, catering,
laundry, uh transportation systems,
everything you could think of. We had
about 60 employees and became the
largest company of our kind in in
Russia. And later on I took that down to
Brazil. And then I I had uh subsequent
business in both Korea and Japan. But in
2014,
I was watching events in Ukraine
closely. 2013 2014 the revolution of
dignity, the events on the uh on
Independent Square in in in Kev. And the
FSB, their internal security service,
had spent about 5 years questioning me,
following me, talking to me,
interrogating me, everything you can
think of because they were suspicious
that uh because I was operating in I
operated in a couple regions that for
them were somewhat sensitive and they
were concerned that perhaps I was
working in the CIA. So I got a lot of
scrutiny for years and years and years.
>> Have you read the book Red Notice?
>> Yes, I have. Yeah. Yeah.
>> Do you might do you know Bill, brother?
>> I don't know him personally. know um but
what he talked about was very familiar
to me um I got a lot of scrutiny you
know on a different level than Bill Mr.
Browder. He was at that time was the
largest investor, foreign investor in
Russia. And it what was really
impressive is how he built that that
that company up. But but none of that
really surprised me and I was living
there during that period of time when
Sergey Magnitzki was killed.
>> Yeah.
>> So none of that was particularly
surprising. Anyway, I left in 2014. They
asked my opinions about what was
happening in Ukraine and I made it
really clear. I thought Ukraine should
be able to make their own decisions
without Russian interference. And it was
just a matter of time from that moment
on. I knew it was just a matter of time
until they began to
um accuse Americans of espionage. You
know, drop a flash drive in their
luggage or something like this. I knew
it would happen and somewhat locally
since I was somewhat prominent in South
Russia, uh I used social media and video
to to get the word out. So, um I thought
that I was somewhat of a target and it
was time time to leave. So, I left in in
in 2014. Then in 2022, and I know you
probably have questions about this. I'm
sorry if I'm running on a little bit,
but uh in 2022, immediately after Russia
escalated the war that they began in
2014, within I say immediately, within
four or five weeks, I was in Ukraine
um to learn what was going on. I knew a
lot about Ukraine from uh my time in in
in Russia. I'd been to Ukraine many,
many times and was quite familiar with
the country. So, I've been initially I
took um trauma kits and medical
equipment, those kinds of things over
and I've been back very regularly since.
I've started uh a company, Destination
Ukraine, to provide destination services
for the companies that relocate there.
And I've also been working with
investors on some projects. I've taken
uh some tech investors over uh land
developers um a modular building company
that's interested in setting up a
factory and then most specific to you
know our top our main topic um I'm
partnered with Doug Clayton of Leopard
Capital to launch a private real estate
fund focused on uh residential in
Ukraine.
>> Okay. So first off um let's talk about
this destination.
services and company. Tell me a little
bit more about what that looks like,
what that involves. Um, and um,
yeah, because I would imagine it's the
same thing in the different locations
around the world providing the same
services. It's just that you're in a
different location, right? So, what
exactly
is destination location
>> assistance? Great question. And it's one
of those things that kind of slips under
the radar and you don't really think
about. Somebody else put the bee in my
bonnet
uh early in the Olympic cycle before um
Sochi. We were in Sochi, an American
investor. We were looking around at some
property and he said we were there when
the the bid was announced that the that
the Russians had won for Sochi in 2014.
And he he looked around he said they're
going to need so much. They're going to
need portaotties. They're going to need
all this. and it it kind of put the bee
in my bonnet. And so it's providing
services.
Uh really it's a for us it's turnkey
service. So a company comes in, what do
you do? Um
do you need offices? Do you need
staffing? Do you need workforce
relocation?
What are the services? And we provided,
you know, a menu of services that uh
they can pick and choose from what they
need. And of course with the Olympics,
it's you've got a compressed time frame.
And there are these technical companies
that provide the services around the
Olympics, the rigging, the lighting, the
timing, the video screens, you know, the
broadcast systems, all of these systems.
Um, they require engineers, they require
people building drywall, you know, all
of this kind of stuff to to usually to
finish out the broadcast center, for
example. And so,
um, we would provide apartments that had
to be, uh, fixed to their specifics in
their contracts with their employees.
And we, we did, um, we provided, not
only did we provide the apartments, but
we also paid for them. So, we paid the
taxes, the rent, utility, Wi-Fi,
everything like that. So, it was kind of
a turnkey service. They would come, we
have folks, they need to get to work,
they need laundry, they need breakfast.
Um, you know, like that. And then later
when the broadcasters showed up, it was
similar, more intense. They might need a
a TV studio um and or sec andor security
and staffing and interpreters and you
know maybe events, catering, all this
kind of thing. So uh really it's it's
problem solving. And of course, Ukraine
is going to be faced with a
very very large reconstruction project.
And
so there'll be a lot of companies that
will be need similar services. It's it's
kind of the same thing. Maybe they'll
need work permits and building permits.
Maybe they want to buy a building. Um
they need work for force relocation.
They need interpreters. They need legal.
They need staffing. They might need
security transportation. All of these
kinds of services. So, it's kind of soup
to nuts, but not every country, not
every company needs each one of those
services. So, they're free to pick and
choose. And so, we're a a very reliable
service. I've done this now in multiple
countries and and um have the systems in
place and the people in place that can
speak virtually every Indo-Uropean
language and a number of the East Asian
ones as well. So,
>> well, I'll tell you the um so I went
over to Russia for the first time
probably
five, six years ago, maybe it was. And
um you know, my expectation
was much different, you know, more so of
what you see in the movies. And I didn't
realize how much of an international
city it is, how clean it was, and how
nice it was. I mean it was it was um it
was a you know a great experience. The
one thing that I I continue to remember
and it comes to my mind all the time is
seeing buildings that have scaffolds
that they're working on in the city and
then they'll put this
drape sort of over the side of it that
makes it look like the building
>> and it's so clean and I'm like New York
should be doing that because you know
they they don't do anything like that.
And it was it was really um I thought
that was I thought that was fascinating.
Um you know my friend that I went over
to see there he right when the Russia
and Ukraine war happened um he he just
left he left everything behind and and
all his stuff everything in his
apartment and just off he went.
>> Yeah. A lot of folks a lot of folks did
that. I know some people that have left
Russia because of the moral opposition
to invading Ukraine and killing people
and trying to take their land. You're
you're right though. Moscow is a big,
fun, fast, exciting city. There are few
places in the world like it. St.
Petersburg is really a beautiful place
as well. But if you get out into
provincial Russia, you see that the vast
majority of all the wealth, all the
power, the cultural uh whatever is
happening culturally is concentrated in
those cities. And so there's a big big
drop off in standards of living. There
are a couple of other cities that are
doing relatively well. Crashadar, Sochi,
uh Nishnov,
uh Novas, which I actually don't know.
there's some other cities but you know a
lot of the provincial areas are really
really struggling and I understand even
more so now during this period of of the
war so um Moscow Moscow is a is a great
city there's no question about it uh but
you know a big you get 100 kilometers
out of that city and you're going back
many many years in time and in lifestyle
and and
>> which is pro probably more of what I was
expecting
>> yeah you uh going on the outside. So, we
know that the the war has been going on
for a while now in Ukraine. We don't
really see anything that's sort of
stopping um immediately at least. And
at least what is portrayed across the
media and I know it differs based upon
what media platform you're listening to
not only in US but globally is that
there's a lot of buildings that have
been
just taken out aren't there a lot of a
lot of you know there which is going to
need the construction and everything
else and so a and the bombing is
continuing to happen So, how did you
come about
looking at building apartments in the
Ukraine?
>> Yeah. Well, we're not going to build.
We're We want to buy uh new apartments
or near new in prime prime districts
and uh also renovate in historic center,
you know, buy buy apartments that are in
great locations and need that. But but
but to to to answer your question, um
I looked at doing a lot of different
things in Russia and as I said, I bought
and sold some land. And at the end of
the day, the investment that would have
worked the best or did work the best
simply buying apartments. Moscow uh or
apartments in Moscow have went up
between 2000 20120 about 1,200%. So
there's a 12 times increase in value and
you know that's pretty tremendous and
that is and it's continued and so prices
the average price of an apartment in
Moscow right now of new build is about
$25,000
per square $25,000 per square meter. So
that's more than just on average that's
almost $3,000 a square foot and uh
that's average and some of them are 40
or 50,000 euros per square meter. So um
and and that's with the ruble declining
about 60%.
So I I was sure starting in about 2023
that real estate or residential real
estate was really a good option in
Ukraine because prices are between
six and 10 or 12 times less in Kev,
Leviv and Adessa than they are in
Russia. Now,
Ukraine and Russia have some
differences, but there are some sim
similarities in culture, uh, in business
systems, in legal systems, and also in
the in the infrastructure and how people
move around. And those cities were not
built with, you know, big freeways
funneling folks in and out. So,
locations are always important, but I
think even more so in a lot of these
posts Soviet capitals. Both Kev and
Moscow have got about 20% of their
respective nations gross domestic
product. So I I I believe that uh
residential is really really
undervalued. And
>> and you're and you're talking about not
apartment buildings but individual
units,
>> right? And here's here's
>> like condos like condos here in the US
basically.
>> Yeah, we would call them condos here in
the US. Here's here's the the
difference. is that about 70 to probably
north of 80% of the folks that live in
Kev um live in apartments and they they
want to they typically own them, right?
So, um,
the the premise is that when an
apartment building is built, you don't
have an owner of a multifamily project
who's, you know, like Fairfield or some
other company that is rent builds or
buys a 400 unit apartment complex and
then leases them all out. Typically
speaking, in fact, I can't think of a
single contrary example in several
decades of looking at this in Russia or
Ukraine where there's an owner that uh
rents an entire building out. It's they
uh build a building and during the
process of building it, they sell the
units out and the closer it gets to
final construction to the construction
being completed, the higher the price.
So, the earlier on you're taking a
greater risk. you get a you get a price
advantage. And so what that does for us
is that it allows us to buy in a number
of different locations in or build andor
buildings. And you know, you touched on
the damage and it's true there has been
extensive hundreds of billions of
dollars worth of damage, but it tends to
be concentrated
more in the east of the country. Now if
you watch the news there there are
nightly attacks on Kev and Adessa to
lesser extent Lviv but the damage is the
number of damage or destroyed apartments
in in these cities is less than 1%. So,
while I don't mean to minimize the human
cost and the terrible tragedy, that's
that's a lot of homes still, you know,
it's I think it's five or six thousand
in in Kev out of a total uh apartment
stock of over 800,000.
So, we feel that by, you know, moving
being in different districts in
different buildings that we're achieving
enough diversification that um that kind
of loss is not catastrophic. you know,
back in 2003,
um I here in the States, I put together
what was going to be the first single
family REIT. And so part of my research
was, you know, who's doing what. And I
remember there was another number of
companies that I ran across in Europe
that would either buy the floor, right?
They weren't buying the buildings or
they'd buy individual units just like
you're talking about and and they would
aggregate them, you know, together. Um
and that's what it sounds like and u
similar right just
>> yeah exactly you know there are as you
point out there are great historical
precedents in Poland and the Czech
Republic. There are other companies that
have done this exact thing in the post
EU accession environment. They bought a
number of apartments, aggregated it,
sold it to a, you know, an investor,
pension fund, insurance company, or or
somebody that wants to own u you know.
>> So, so um Oh, a couple questions. So, is
your your exit strategy to sell it as a
portfolio or individually?
>> That's right. It's um it's to we think
that uh we're convinced that the similar
kinds of folks in Europe especially that
are buying those portfolios in Poland
and Hungary and Czech Republic and then
the Baltics, we think that they're the
our customers. There's value in having a
you know a sizable portfolio of
apartments spread across three cities
with with excellent returns.
And of course you achieve some some
economies right if you sell it offshore
there are advantages um the money stays
in the country right and
um it's it's uh obviously less costly
from a from a and from a time and and uh
sales perspective as well if you're
selling one by one as opposed to the
whole portfolio. Now when I lived in
Vietnam, there was an issue having to do
with ownership and that happens in a
number of countries, right? Where there
has to be you have to have a partner
either to do business to be there,
right? Or ownership has to be a certain
percentage 5149.
Can foreigners purchase these properties
or do you actually need a partner?
That's that's a a great uh a great point
and that's you know I know that that's
the case in a number of of countries
especially in Southeast Asia. In Ukraine
you can hold an apartment as a as a
foreigner. We'll have a an onshore
company or companies that own the
apartments. We don't have to have a uh
uh we don't have to split ownership in
that way. So, um, but it's it's it's an
excellent question and and one of the
things one of the reasons why I believe
this is so attractive is that it's a
great store of wealth. It's the law
works very well for buying and selling
apartments in Ukraine. It's where people
that have money put it. It's a, you
know, it's a store of value. They can
live in it. They can rent it out. And
there's a lot more trust in property
than there are in the securities
markets. So the law works really well
for buying and selling and renting
apartments in Ukraine and the contracts
when we our idea where our plan we will
buy these apartments rent them out and
then as Ukrainian economy grows
eventually it sees to the EU property
values and rents are going to rise. But
the great the great situation here is
that the um all the contracts are
engraved up but pegged to the dollar. So
we're not taking a currency risk.
>> What um
okay let's say that that Russia does
take over Ukraine. Ukraine says fine or
whatever. not fine. But I mean, they end
up
including it in their,
you know, as part of their part of
Russia,
>> right, which he's trying to do, I
believe. And and so how would that
impact
everything that you're working on?
>> Well, it'd be I I fear it would be, you
know, a catastrophe for not just us, but
the Ukrainians. And so I I don't think
that that's
that is a risk. I don't think it's um a
particularly
strong risk. In nearly four years of
war, they've haven't really gained much
territory from what they were
controlling um in 2022. So I don't
believe that there's a high likelihood
that they'll be in Kev, Adessa, and or
Lviv. I I just don't think that it's
it's a risk, but um I think a a
relatively low percentage like low
single digits that they get to those
cities. There's still a number, you
know, uh all these cities are some
distance away from the front lines. The
Russians haven't been able to cross the
neper um at Hersan since 200 I can't
remember was 2022 or 2023 when they
pushed them back across the river. So
that's the closest. And when you're in
Adessa, we were in Adessa at the end of
August and early September. It's really
interesting because people are living,
working, vacationing, get getting
married. Other than uh
and again, not to minimize the human
tragedy here, but they're building
apartments right now in every one of
these cities. Significant numbers. Now
the the construction has dropped off
about to about 45% of pre-war levels.
But you if if you and I went there now I
could show you a number of buildings
that are in Adessa that are being
constructed.
And so I think that that's a risk but I
think it's uh it's more than priced into
the discount.
um
what's the chance or how how much how
close have they has Russia gotten to the
city center?
>> You know, in 2022 they were at an air
airirstrip just outside of Kev. Uh and
they did there were a lot of atrocities
committed in Pin and BHA which are uh
suburbs of Keev. So they were relatively
close at that point in time, but they
haven't been anywhere near there since
then. Um, right now they're hundreds of
miles away.
Um, now if you go to Harkefe, which is I
don't know, maybe it's 350 miles east of
Kev, I should know exactly. They're
they're not too far away from there. And
I've been in Kharkiv. Hark was the
second largest city and really sustained
a lot of damage. So, you know, one of
the things that people tend to think of
is, well, these European countries
aren't so big. Ukraine's sizable. It's
almost the size of Texas. So, what
happens in El Paso? Um, there's quite a
bit of difference between El Paso and
Houston, for example. You know, I think
that's what we're talking about.
In Lviv, I believe out of a housing
stock of about 280,000
apartments has sustained about 200 that
have been lost or severely damaged. So,
that's pretty small percentage. We're
less than 1% in Kev. Uh my best count in
Adessa is about 1,200 apartments out of
about 380,000. And I think that the vast
majority of the damage that's happened
in this war has already happened. So
yeah, undoubtedly a risk, but we think
that the prices more than compensate for
for what that risk is and that most of
the damage in the major major cities has
already happened.
>> So So when did you start thinking about
this thesis?
2023 is when it really came home to me
because I was looking around at these
apartments and thinking, gosh, you know,
they're they're so inexpensive
and I watched apartments just skyrocket
in Russia um over the last several
decades despite the fact and even now
prices are very high despite the fact
the rubles's down you know 60% from
pre2022 levels. So despite all that,
apartments are very very expensive
there. And I I think that there's a a
great case to be made that Adessa is a
more attractive place than Sochi. I
lived in Sochi for a number of years,
but they've got this beautiful historic
center. They got sandy beaches. It's the
major seapport for the country. Hu
historic city center with architecture
that you know is quite beautiful. Kev, I
believe, is going to be
the cool city in the coming decade. you
know what Berlin has been, what
Barcelona was, you know, what London is
on and off as, you know, the center for
digital nomads and for young people and
people that want to experience a fun
cosmopolitan lifestyle. I think Keev is
going to be the hot city in the decades
to come.
>> But is that that also is based upon
the war, right? And how things shake
out.
>> Yes. Yes. Um, but the war will end. And
what that looks like exactly, uh, anyone
I I I don't know. But Russia is so far
from Kev right now. Yes, they're lobbing
missiles in there. But if and I compare
it to cities in the west and you know
this you know you have cities that have
had tremendous damage from fires
>> or hurricanes
>> or hurricanes. And so I mean people hear
war and they think everything in in
Ukraine look looks like Bakmoot. And
again, not to underplay the damage and
the human tragedies, and you can hardly
talk to anybody in Ukraine without
hearing about one of these, but the
damage in Bakmood is entirely different
than what it is in Lviv. Lviv is only
about oh, I think it's around 50 60
miles to the Polish border. And there's
a lot of talk in Ukraine that there will
be a great deal of infrastructure
constructed around Lviv, a ring road, a
new airport, new new roads heading to
the eight Polish Ukrainian U border
crossings. And with labor costs that are
only about a quarter of what they are in
Poland, Ukraine is likely to become a
manufacturing hub for Europe, as is
Muldova.
Costs are so much lower there. and um as
it ases to the EU I think that's just
going to happen. So Lviv Lviv is a
beautiful AustroHungarian city. I think
it's also going to be attractive for
expats and then companies setting up
manufacturing. There are a number of
companies already uh you know kicking
the tires. South Koreans are over there.
There are a couple of very attractive
business parks outside Lviv that um u
the Ukrainian government is giving tax
benefits to. So I mean they're not just
in the Leviv area. They're around 120 I
think of them have been identified
nationwide. But there are so many things
that Ukraine has going for it. Lower
labor costs 25% of the world's best soil
black earth more than any other country
on Earth. Um, so you've got agriculture,
of course, the the rare earths have been
talked about extensively, and
manufacturing, and then you've got an
educated and sophisticated labor force,
particularly particularly in IT,
>> which is a big which is a big thing,
right? I mean, that that's why people
will go from part of the world to a
different part of the world when there's
economics can make better sense, right?
especially if they can get, you know,
personnel. I'll tell you, my my friend
um had lived in probably eight, nine
different countries around the world. He
worked for Colgate and he said the best
employees he ever had, the smartest was
in Russia, actually.
>> Yeah. You know, both countries have a
lot of talented folks. Of course, a lot
of those folks left Russia because of
their opposition to the war or not
wanting to be personally involved. Um
but yeah, Ukraine has got a lot of
talented folks. The other thing that we
see is that probably Ukraine is going to
become a hub for defense manufacturing
because they're at the forefront.
They're the leaders in drone technology
right now.
Yes. And so you see around us, which is
along on the Slovakian border, you see a
number of pharmaceutical and especially
defense companies have set up production
there because I don't think there's been
any uh any damage ink or it's minimal
from the war.
>> Wow. So where are you in the process
with this strategy that we're talking
about?
>> Yeah, we're we're in fund formation. Uh
we're looking for limited partners. We
have a website up uh ukrainec
capital.com. Important to note that uh
my discussion is not a uh offer to buy
or sell securities. That's only done
through legal meth means as you know.
But uh we're in that we're in that
process and we're really excited. It
it's um you know some folks just hear
war and gosh but there are a lot of lot
of people that understand that
postconlict environments
as this is so unique because we will at
some point we will enter a postconlict
environment. What else is the other
thing that's unique is that Ukraine is
almost certainly going to join the EU.
They are on fast track.
France, Germany, Sweden, Poland are all
big supporters of this. And then there's
this wall of money that's going to hit
Ukraine. So all of these factors uh make
for a once in a generation or maybe once
in a lifetime re repricing of
residential real estate.
>> What about debt? Where are you going to
get the debt from? And how much leverage
can you actually get?
We're still working that out, but our
numbers are even without leverage are um
very very attractive. So, initially
we're not planning on leverage.
>> Oh, really? So, you're going 100% in.
>> Yeah.
Okay.
>> That may change that may change uh as as
we get there, but at this moment we we
uh we don't need leverage to have
excellent returns.
>> Well,
So unlevered, what type of returns are
you projecting?
>> I got to be careful if I
>> what what's the potential of of
middle of the road?
>> Yeah. Well, if you just look at our peer
markets, Moscow uh apartments on average
are around eight times in price what
they are in Kev. If you look at Adessa,
Adessa right now you can buy quality
apartments for either unfinished because
they deliver them without floor and wall
coverings and kitchens and and
bathrooms. Um, but they're they're
cheaper in Adessa and you can buy
apartments there unfinished for around
a,000 maybe $1,500 a square meter which
is some somewhere less than a hundred to
maybe $1,300 a square foot or or$100 to
$130 a square foot. Those apartments are
in Sochi.
They might be between
uh five and $6,000 a square meter up to
25 or $30,000 a square meter. So you're
looking at five, six, eight, 10 times
higher prices. And we think that those
are the the the reference points because
of the similarities in infrastructure in
one where money goes how the laws work
in terms of transferring real estate. So
there's going to be big big rerating. If
you look at what happened in um Estonia
for example, they had multiple years
where residential
uh
exceeded 30% growth peranom in the two
years before joining the EU and the two
years after. Same thing in Poland in the
Czech Republic. So it 30% um annual
returns for those years are not um that
you know there's a precedent for it for
for countries that they had the what
they call the big bang in 2004 and 10
countries joined the EU and there were
there were subsequently there were big
uplifts in um residential prices. So,
you know, I'm not promising
returns here, but if you look at the the
historical press,
>> it's like anytime you're in a distress
or you of any sorts, I mean, we're going
in distress specifically in multifamily,
you know, as well. So, that's where
opportunities come from. And so, you
know, just like you said, when it's
fires or hurricanes, so it makes sense,
right? as long as there's that
fundamental to come out of it.
>> Yeah. And I think I really think that um
it the the risk for fires or hurricanes
are are a good analog. You know, I mean,
there are people that in the Midwest
will say, "Oh, why would you do anything
in Florida because of the hurricanes or
why would you do anything in Colorado or
California because of the wildfires?"
Well, things are happening. People are
still living in those places. So, um I I
think there's a there's a big
opportunity and I think that with
manufacturing, with agriculture, with
defense, with the wall of money that's
going to hit Ukraine, with the law
working very well for exchanging um
apartments, it's it's I think that uh
we're simply the first ones there and in
a few years there are going to be a lot
of other folks that are are, you know,
>> Well, that's good, too, because that
could be part of an exit strategy,
right? if some people are coming in and
you're not taking the full upside, but
still you're taking awful nice upside.
Right.
>> Right.
>> And you have that liquidity component.
So, you know, Bruce, usually when we
when we talk about things here on the um
on the show, we we we really get into
exactly what we're talking about with
from an educational perspective as well.
But I do want you to mention your um
website again because to me this is just
so fascinating and it's it's one of
those um you don't hear much of it,
right? But it makes a lot of sense in
many regards.
>> Yeah, it's uh Ukraine capital.com.
So you can go there and and uh find our
contact information and uh I I my uh
partner on this the CEO in fact of of
Ukraine Capital is Doug Clayton and so
he is uh I've got a lot of experience in
postsviet markets and Doug has got uh a
great deal of experience in private
equity. He raised and managed funds for
Leopard Capital in Cambodia and Haiti
and has a lot of experience in frontier
markets. So, you know, it's a I think
it's a good team.
>> Well, good. Well, Bruce, um thank you so
much for being on the show and would
love to have you back. Um
because to to hear how things are
progressing and what's happening, you
know, because uh it's nice to hear that
there's some positive things in in many
regards that are happening, you know, in
Ukraine. If other companies or countries
are starting to come in, obviously
they're they're looking to help out in
some capacity, obviously. Um but um but
thanks so much for being on the show. I
want you to stick around for a minute
here uh after we finish up. But um yeah,
keep us posted as you go. Okay.
>> I I'll absolutely do it. Thank you for
having me on. In closing, I just like to
say that Ukrainians are very resilient
people. Um, I think it's a human quality
and people are getting up and they're
going to work and they're building
apartments and they're, you know,
manufacturing drones and they're
planting their crops and they're doing
this under tremendous pressure. I hope
the United States helps more than we
have been recently. Um, but there are
other other companies and other folks
looking around and now is the time to
get involved. I really think so. Yeah.
>> Yeah. But especially from a contrarian
perspective, for sure.
>> Yeah.
>> So,
>> all right, Bruce, thanks so much and and
keep us posted and we'll have you on
again. Okay.
>> Thank you. I'll do it.
